RB: Breece Hall - NYJ

I've said these things in a few videos this offseason and different draft guide videos, but I just want to recount my steps with Breece Hall over the last year. Before 2023, I told everybody that had Breece Hall stayed healthy during the entire 2022 season, he would be the 1.01 overall pick in 2023. I advised keeping that in mind when drafting, as he may be worth the potential headache to start the season because, as he gets healthier throughout the year, he could end up having a big-time close to the season.

He started off the season as the RB9 but then had three straight nonviable fantasy performances. I told everybody if you can get Breece Hall cheap, do it right then. That would be the time to buy. Then he ended up cranking off three straight RB1 performances, and I told everybody at that point, perfect, we're settled in, let's see what happens. Then we went downhill again and had another streak of games that were very concerning and didn't do a whole lot for our fantasy rosters. But at that time, I stayed put. I said if you own Breece Hall, you keep him. If you don't own Breece Hall, we are still trying to trade for him right now.

Over the last five weeks of the season, he gave you four RB1 performances, three of those were inside the top three. Breece Hall, from all the looks of his efficiency last season, is primed for a huge 2024 breakout and is currently my RB2. In fact, if someone said that they wanted to draft him over Christian McCaffrey, I wouldn't argue against it. If you've got concerns that McCaffrey has been healthy the last couple of years but has had a ton of usage and you're worried about potential breakdown again and want to go with Breece Hall, I don't hate your argument. I understand it.

Breece Hall is an absolute stud. Everything that he did in terms of efficiency last year shows breakout potential. The volume that we saw last year was a little up and down, but towards the end of the season, when he was a lot healthier, it was a little bit more consistent. Aaron Rodgers being back is only going to be better for his efficiency and his upside. We just have to hope that this offense in the passing game is 10 times better than what it was last season. If that ends up happening, Breece Hall finishing as the RB1 overall and unseating Christian McCaffrey would not shock me. I'm not going to put him ahead of CMC right now; CMC's season last year absolutely deserves the RB1 ranking. But Breece Hall is a very, very close RB2.