WR: Tyreek Hill - MIA

2024 Season Summary

Overall Stats & Trends

• Played 17 games, with 81 receptions, 959 yards, and 6 receiving TDs

• His target share fell to 21.9% from 33.7% in 2023

• Notably, he recorded only 292 yards after the catch, compared to 652 in 2023

Context & Influencing Factors

• QB Tua missed 6 games; Hill averaged just 63.1 receiving yards/gm even with Tua

• Off‑field issues included a domestic dispute in April 2025 (no charges) and on‑field frustration after a game

Key takeaway: 2024 marked Hill’s lowest full-season output since his 2016 rookie year in catches and yards, with efficiency hitting a post‑2022 low.

2025 Fantasy Outlook

Health & Availability

• Wrist surgery over offseason; practice participation has been limited

• Aging factor: enters 2025 at 31 years old, though elite speed remains intact.

QB Dependency & Target Volume

• With Tua (now healthy after concussion issues), historical presence boosts volume upside.

Efficiency & Competition

• Post-catch efficiency down significantly (YAC cut in half)

• Supporting Cast: Jaylen Waddle remains the WR2 option but now with the departure of Jonnu Smith, Darren Waller comes out of retirement and joins the Dolphins

Headliner Take

Tyreek Hill enters the 2025 season looking to rebound after a 2024 campaign that saw notable declines in efficiency and production. He finished 2024 with 81 receptions, 959 yards, and 6 touchdowns. His lowest full-season totals since his rookie year. The drop was driven by reduced target share (24.1%), fewer explosive plays, and a significant dip in yards after catch due to the injuries to Tua. With Tua Tagovailoa now healthy and Miami’s offense still built around speed, Hill remains a central figure in the passing attack. However, age (31), recovery from wrist surgery, and increased competition for targets introduce risk. His 2025 fantasy outlook hinges on regaining efficiency and maintaining volume, positioning him as a high-ceiling option in PPR formats if health and usage align. 2025 may be the cheapest you can get Hill in quite some time, and if you can get him in the 3rd round I'm jumping all over it.