Let's just call it how it is: the ceiling of Ja'Marr Chase is tied to the health of Joe Burrow. The floor of Ja'Marr Chase is tied to the fact that this dude is him. He just finished last season top 12 at the position and didn't even have Joe Burrow for seven games. Last year, he had a career-high in targets and receptions, but it was kind of helped out a little bit because Tee Higgins missed a handful of games.
But now we know we no longer have Tyler Boyd—he is gone, and so is that high-end trio in Cincinnati. Now, it's down to just a duo. Joe Mixon is gone, the running game is Zack Moss and Chase Brown, and it sounds like we could have an opportunity to have a 100% Joe Burrow come the start of the season.
But here is what makes me feel a little bit safer about drafting Ja'Marr Chase: if Joe Burrow plays all 17 games, he's going to be a top five wide receiver in fantasy. If Joe Burrow goes down and misses some time, we've already seen backup quarterback Jake Browning come in and see what he's capable of. Plus, we know he's going to look the way of Ja'Marr Chase.
Now, while he may not be the safest early-round wide receiver here in this year's draft, his ceiling is still top three.
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