WR: A.J. Brown - PHI

2024 Season Summary

Core Stats

• Games Played: 13 (missed 4 due to hamstring)

• Receptions / Targets: 67 receptions on 97 targets (~34% target share)

• Receiving Yards: 1,079

• Touchdowns: 7

• Yards per Reception: 16.1

• Fantasy Points Per Game: 14.1 Half PPR

Injury Note

• Missed four games but returned strong with a 116-yard game

Summary

Brown delivered a third straight 1,000-yard season, maintaining elite big-play ability and efficiency. However, a more run-focused offense (621 rushing attempts, 56.3% run rate — 1st in NFL) reduced the overall passing volume and capped his opportunities.

2025 Fantasy Outlook

Fantasy Strengths

• Proven Elite Efficiency

  • 14+ Half PPR points per game in three straight seasons

  • Top-tier yards per target (9.2+)

  • Red-zone involvement remains strong

• Strong Offensive Scheme

  • Eagles feature two 1,000-yard WRs and a 1,000-yard rusher

  • Balanced, high-powered attack gives touchdown and big-play upside

Risk Factors

• Target Volume Concern

  • Averaged 7.5 targets/game (down from 9.3 in 2023)

  • Run-heavy game scripts can suppress target totals

• Health & Game Availability

  • Missed 4 games due to hamstring injury

  • Physical playing style introduces recurring injury risk

• Usage Volatility

  • Operates mostly as a downfield threat

  • Volume dips in positive game scripts, dependent on big plays for value

Headliner Take

A.J. Brown enters the 2025 fantasy football season as one of the league’s most efficient and explosive wide receivers. Despite missing four games in 2024, he still surpassed 1,000 yards (1,079) with 7 touchdowns on 67 receptions, averaging 16.1 yards per catch and maintaining a top-10 mark in explosive plays. His chemistry with Jalen Hurts remains strong, and he continues to earn elite grades in single coverage. While Philadelphia’s run-heavy scheme can limit his target volume at times, Brown’s big-play ability and red-zone usage keep him firmly in the low-end WR1 conversation, particularly in PPR formats.