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TE: TJ Hockenson - MIN

Updated: Jul 2

2024 Season Summary


Usage & Return From Injury

  • Games Played: 10 (activated Week 9 from PUP)

  • Stat Line: 62 targets → 41 receptions → 455 yards → 0 regular-season touchdowns

  • Averaged 6.2 targets and 45.5 yards per game

  • Scored once in the postseason (5/64/1 in Wild Card game)

  • Snap share exceeded 50% only starting in Week 12

Contextual Factors

  • Returned from a major ACL/MCL tear (suffered Dec 2023)

  • Played limited snaps but remained involved in the offense

  • Regular season lacked red-zone usage and touchdown opportunities



2025 Fantasy Outlook


1. Volume Outlook

  • In 2023: 127 targets (2nd among TEs) — shows elite ceiling

  • If fully healthy, he projects to reclaim a 100+ target season

  • Early-season opportunity spike likely with Jordan Addison facing potential suspension

2. Offensive System

  • Vikings trending toward heavier 12-personnel, run-oriented sets

  • Still expect Hockenson to remain the top tight end and red-zone threat

  • New playcaller could prioritize short-area targets, boosting floor

3. Quarterback Impact

  • Rookie J.J. McCarthy expected to start; rookie QBs typically favor TEs

  • Hockenson averaged 14.6 PPR points/game in 2023 regardless of QB (Cousins, Dobbs, Mullens)

4. Injury & Durability

  • Has missed 26 games over the past four seasons

  • Enters 2025 at age 28 and reportedly fully healthy, but durability remains a risk



Headliner Take


T.J. Hockenson is back in the TE1 mix for 2025. Despite missing the first half of last season, he immediately resumed a 6+ target/game pace in a limited role. With a full offseason of rehab, he's on track to return to pre-injury form. If Addison’s early-season absence materializes, Hockenson could lead the team in targets out of the gate.


Expect ~100 targets, 70–75 catches, 700–800 yards, and 5–7 touchdowns. That puts him in the TE6–TE8 range with top-5 upside in full PPR formats. Draft with confidence if you're punting on the elite tier.

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