I have a strong concern that there's going to be some recency bias with Chuba Hubbard. If you owned him last season towards the end of the year, he may have been a part of any type of a playoff run or getting you to a championship. But through the first 11 weeks of the season, he only offered you double-digit fantasy points one time. So are we going to get the first half of the season Chuba Hubbard in 2024, or are we going to get the second half of the season Chuba Hubbard? Is the second half of the season Chuba Hubbard really all that worth drafting?
From week 12 through week 18, Chuba Hubbard was at least an RB2 six times. Okay, decent floor. And of those six times, he was only inside the top 18 running backs twice. All right, so not a great ceiling. But somehow, even though those numbers aren't all that spectacular, from week 12 through week 18, Chuba Hubbard was the RB9 last season. So on a weekly basis, it looked like Chuba Hubbard was giving you an awful lot. But then, when you take a look at the numbers as a whole, maybe it wasn't that Chuba Hubbard was giving you a whole lot; maybe it was just the other running backs around him weren't doing nearly enough.
Now, really the only threat that I see to Chuba Hubbard this season is going to be Jonathan Brooks. But there's no telling when Jonathan Brooks is even going to be ready to play football after tearing his ACL last November. For me, Miles Sanders, as of this recording, is still with Carolina, but I would not be shocked if he is released at some point in training camp.
So, even though Chuba Hubbard gave you the RB9 numbers down the stretch last season as a whole, I'm not willing to bank on him being a top 12 running back once again. Now, this could end up being an improved offense. Bryce Young could take another step this year, and if those things were to happen, it absolutely will help Chuba Hubbard. And I also want to remind everybody that Dave Canales, who comes over from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, gave Rachaad White a ton of touches last season. But I don't think that he's going to be able to give all those touches to Chuba Hubbard and get the same type of fantasy production.
Really, it's all about where his ADP ends up landing come draft season. If you can take him as your RB4 and add him as depth on your team, I'm absolutely okay with that because if nothing ends up happening with him, you're not burning yourself. But if you have to draft him as your RB2 or even an RB3 that you're probably going to have to start on a weekly basis, I don't think I'm ready to give that type of draft capital to a guy that could end up losing his job this season.
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