QB: Michael Penix Jr. - ATL

2024 Rookie Year Performance

Passing & Rushing Totals

• Games played/started: 5 games, 3 starts

• Completions/Attempts: 61 / 105 (58.1%)

• Passing Yards: 775 yards (7.4 YPA)

• Passing TD–INT: 3 TDs – 3 INTs

• Passer Rating: 78.9

• Rushing: 7 carries, 11 yards, 1 rushing TD

  
  

Game Log (Last 3 Weeks as Starter)

• Week 16 @ NYG: 18/27, 202 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT; 4 rush, 3 yds

• Week 17 @ WAS: 19/35, 223 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT; 2 rush, 3 yds; OT loss

• Week 18 vs CAR: 21/38, 312 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT; 1 rush, 5 yds, 1 rush TD

  
  

Efficiency & Advanced Metrics

• YPA: 7.4; AY/A: 10.2; YPA ranks ~45th among QBs

• Explosive Play (EPX): 98.1 (Avg‑league), Passing EPX 102.0

• Deep ball attempts: 19 (3.8/game)

• True Comp %: 64.2%

  
  

Deep Game Specifics

• In 3 starts, Drake London: ~23 PPG, 39% target share, 50.6% air-yards share

• Deep throws (20+ yards) with no pressure (sample 13 passes):

  • 62% highly accurate rate

  • 77% catchable

  • 15% off target

    
    
    
    

Fantasy Outlook 2025

Volume & Opportunity

• Named Falcons starter for 2025—no QB competition; retains Kirk Cousins as backup

• Week 18: 312 pass yards + 2 pass TDs

• Week 17: 223 pass yards + 1 pass TD

• Week 16: 202 yards

• Averaged 245.7 passing yards/game over 3 starts, 7.4 YPA

• Total of 3 pass TDs and 3 INTs over 3 games

  
  

Rushing

• Minimal rushing upside: 11 rushing yards and 1 TD on 7 carries across season

• Volume outlook: Full-time starter; expects ~20–25 passing attempts/game, supported by strong pass-catching group (Robinson, London, Mooney, Pitts)

• Efficiency outlook: Maintains above-average downfield passing

• Accuracy metrics: Rookie completion rate below 60%, but true completion 64%; expect improvement with experience

• Rushing ceiling: Low, so fantasy value driven by passing volume and TDs, not scrambles

Headliner Take

Michael Penix Jr. showed late in the 2024 season that he’s capable of elevating the Atlanta offense. However, his limited rushing upside caps his fantasy ceiling. While he’ll likely deliver some big passing yard performances, Penix projects as a mid-to-low-end QB2 for 2025 fantasy football, especially until playmakers like Kyle Pitts emerge as consistent weekly threats.