QB: Kyler Murray - ARI

2024 Season Summary

Games Played

● 17 (first full season since 2020)

Passing

● Attempts/Completions: 541 / 372 (68.8%)

● Passing Yards: 3,851 (11th in NFL)

● Passing TD / INT: 21 / 11

● Average YPA: 7.1

Rushing

● Attempts / Yards: 78 / 572 (career-best 7.3 YPC)

● Rushing TDs: 5

Fantasy Output

● Fantasy Points/Game: 18.1 (QB12 per-game, QB10 total)

Explosive Plays (EPX)

● Overall: 98.4 (21st)

● Passing: 95.1 (23rd)

● Rushing: 110.4 (5th)

Accuracy Metrics

● 76.2% on-target rate & 68.8% completion rate (both 7th-best in NFL)

● Passing Depth: Average depth of target 7.1 yards (ranked 30th)

Advanced Metrics

● Among 40 qualified QBs:

20th in YPA

18th in CPOE

16th in passer rating

2025 Fantasy Outlook

ADP / Draft Cost

● ADP ~92.7 (mid‑8th round in 12-team 1‑QB leagues)

● Projected pick range: ~QB8–QB12 in 1‑QB, much earlier in Superflex formats

Volatility

● Scored 25+ fantasy points in 4 games

● ≤12 points in 5 games

● Profile categorized as "boom/bust, low-end QB1"

Key Trends & Context

● Fully recovered knee, new career-high rushing efficiency (7.3 YPC)

● Ranks 12th in per-game fantasy scoring in 2024 (18.1 PPG)

● Cardinals re-focused defense in 2025 offseason; no major offensive WR upgrades noted

Headliner Take

Kyler Murray isn’t the issue in Arizona.The real problem lies in the play calling, predictable schemes, and an inability to consistently get the ball into the hands of their top playmakers. Too often, Kyler is forced to improvise under pressure.

While he offers low-end QB1 potential for 2025, he carries more risk than several quarterbacks going later in drafts.I’d rather wait and target options like Bo Nix, Brock Purdy, Jared Goff, Caleb Williams, or Dak Prescott.