QB: Josh Allen - BUF

2024 Season Summary

Passing

● 17 games

● 483 attempts, 307 completions (63.6%)

● 3,731 yards (219.5/game), 7.7 YPA

● 28 TDs, 6 INTs, 14 sacks

● Ranked 2nd in QB scoring (385.1 points) and 9th in yards per attempt league‑wide

Rushing

● 102 rushes, 531 yards (31.2/game), 12 rushing TDs (2nd only to Jalen Hurts)

● Led all QBs in rushing efficiency metrics:

• Yards after contact/attempt

  Broken tackles

  Rushing success rate

  
  

Efficiency & Notables

● QBR: 77.3 (2nd among QBs)

● AY/A: ~8.1 (top-3)

● Air YPA: 6.3 (2nd)

● Fantasy points per dropback: ~0.77 (top-3)

● First QB to have 40+ total TDs (pass + rush) in five straight seasons

● Set multiple dual-threat NFL records:

• Most games with combined big passing and rushing lines

  First with passing + receiving + rushing TD in one game

2025 Fantasy Football Outlook

1. Passing Volume & Efficiency

● Already elite: 483 attempts, 7.7 YPA, 28 TDs

● Efficiency metrics (AY/A, Air YPA, QBR) remain top-tier

● Bills offense stays explosive — 525 points scored

● Offensive focus continuing “Everybody Eats”

● Key supporting cast: Josh Palmer, Keon Coleman, and Khalil Shakir

2. Rushing Upside

● High-efficiency — 5.2 YPC, rushing TD machine (12)

● Ranks 2nd in recent years for rushing TDs

● Led league in rushing efficiency metrics

● Offensive emphasis on QB scrambles and red zone designed QB runs

● Projections:

• 100–120 carries

  500–600 rush yards

  8–12 rushing TDs

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3. Fantasy Scoring Profile

● Combines volume passing with dual-threat rushing — ideal fantasy structure

● In 2024: QB2 in PPG (22.7), QB4 overall fantasy

4. Health & Durability

● Played all 17 games

● Consistent starter (104 straight starts)

● Injury alerts in early ’24 didn’t reduce play rate

● Likely to stay healthy again

5. Safe QB1 Floor

● Ceiling for mid‑20s PPG in full PPR

● Elite scrambling and volume ensure durability against interceptions/injuries

● MVP-level confidence and offensive scheme support another standout season

Headliner Take

Josh Allen enters 2025 as a high-end QB1, blending elite efficiency, volume, and rushing upside.Expect bell-cow production with ~35–40 total TDs, and 22–24 fantasy points per game.A cornerstone fantasy asset with both stability and explosive upside.

The biggest downfall is how early you have to draft him. Now, if he falls to the 3rd round and you already have 2 great picks in the first 2 rounds, then that’s the only time I draft a QB that early.