Jalen Hurts is one of only a couple of quarterbacks in the NFL that could finish top two in fantasy football and not have to throw for 4,000 yards. In fact, he's never thrown for more than 3,900 yards in a season and never more than 23 passing touchdowns in a season. That right there tells me we are extremely reliant on his legs and rushing upside. He has had a minimum of 600 yards rushing and 10 rushing touchdowns for three straight years.
But another thing we've started to see as well is a drop in the efficiency over the last three years. In fact, last year was the first year he didn't even average four yards per carry. Now we move forward to 2024 and some of the things that have changed. Longtime starting center Jason Kelce has retired, and now we have Saquon Barkley in the backfield.
Now, I don't think the brotherly shove is going anywhere, but what if Saquon gets that assignment at some point? I mean, defenses already know it's going to be coming anyway. We know Saquon has a strong lower body, and he can create the same push. Not saying, just saying. What if? It's not like we've never seen stud running backs line up under center in a designed run before.
But we really need those rushing touchdowns from Jalen Hurts. Remember, we're not getting huge passing volume. Last year, he had 15 rushing touchdowns. What if that number goes down to 10? Still double digits, still great, but only 10 touchdowns. That would have been the difference in him finishing quarterback two overall and quarterback four overall.
Now, that's not some drastic difference, but that's the difference of drafting a quarterback a round or two later. Now he's going to be hovering right around the mid-third round probably all offseason. And when all things are said and done, the guy is going to be a top five play overall at the position. He's not a bad pick by any means, but there is a little bit of risk here in 2024 with the addition of Saquon Barkley, early, be sure to grab a little bit of added depth in those mid-to-late rounds so you're taking care of yourself and have some flexibility with your roster throughout the season.
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