Michael Pittman was one of the most consistent fantasy wide receivers for a large chunk of the season, but he basically disappeared in the fantasy playoffs and it dropped him all the way down to a wide receiver 16 overall finish. He still had career highs, though, in targets, receptions, and receiving yards—something he did with Gardner Minshew.
But now we have Anthony Richardson back for the Indianapolis Colts, and that isn't it. We have Josh Downs going into his second year. Indianapolis just went out and drafted a stud rookie wide receiver in Adonai Mitchell out of Texas. He's 6'2", 205 lbs, and runs a 4.34 40—a slightly smaller but faster Michael Pittman. But they also get a tight end back: 6'7", 253 lb freak Jelani Woods is scheduled to be back in 2024.
I think we would be making a mistake if we think that Indianapolis is going to go out each and every week and just force-feed the ball to Michael Pittman. There are other options here; there are other big-bodied options in this offense. Plus, don't forget they have one of the best offensive lines in the NFL, and Jonathan Taylor is 100% healthy, which means they're going to run the ball quite a bit.
Now, I can say this: talent-wise, Michael Pittman is the most all-around wide receiver on the roster, but he may see a slightly lower target share this year than he did last year. Plus, Gardner Minshew was able to deliver him 75.6% catchable footballs. If that number dips with Anthony Richardson and he has a lower target share, we could see mid to low-end wide receiver two numbers from Michael Pittman in 2024.
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