WR: Josh Downs - IND

2024 Season Summary

Rushing into form after early injuries

• Missed Weeks 1–2 (high ankle sprain) and Week 12 (shoulder), playing 14 regular-season games

• Finished with career highs: 72 receptions, 803 yards, and 5 touchdowns on 107 targets

• That’s 5.1 catches/game, 57.4 yards/game, and 0.36 TD/game - solid WR3 level production

Mid‑season surge but late decline

• Weeks 4–11 performance: averaged 12.9 Half PPR points/game, ranking 7th among WRs

• Production tapered post-Week 12, likely due to injuries and shifting QB play

2025 Fantasy Outlook

Opportunity & Target Volume

• A robust 25.6% target share (~9.3 targets/game) on Flacco starts

• If QB play stabilizes (Richardson and/or Jones), Downs should continue as the high-volume slot option

• Had 437 slot snaps - 8th most

Efficiency + Reception Floor

• Extremely dependable: solid catch rate, low drop rate (~4.7%)

• His short-area rep is low variance—floor is solid, but top-end ceiling limited by usage profile

Touchdown Ceiling & Competition

• Just 5 receiving TDs in 14 games, total career TDs = 7 - he’s not a red-zone staple

• 2025 rookie TE Tyler Warren is entering the mix, plus Michael Pittman Jr, Alec Pierce and Adonai Mitchell compete for targets

• But his short-area role is less contested—WR3/slot high-volume looks remain intact

Health and Floor

• Missed 3 games in 2 seasons—shoulder and ankle injuries—but no major concern

Headliner Take

Josh Downs enters the 2025 season as a reliable, high-volume slot receiver for the Colts, coming off a 2024 campaign where he tallied 72 receptions for 803 yards and 5 touchdowns in 14 games. He maintained a strong target share and excelled in short-area efficiency with a catch rate over 90%. Downs offers a steady PPR floor thanks to his consistent involvement, but his ceiling remains modest due to limited red-zone usage and competition from teammates like Michael Pittman, Alec Pierce and Adonai Mitchell as well as rookie TE Tyler Warren. In fantasy, he profiles as a WR3 or FLEX option, especially valuable in formats that reward receptions.