WR: Jaylen Waddle - MIA

2024 Season Summary

Games Played / Started

• 15 games, 15 starts

Receiving Stats

• Receptions: 58 (career low; tied-58th among WRs)

• Targets: 83 (career low)

• Receiving Yards: 744 (49.6 per game; 44th overall)

• Yards per Reception (YPR): 12.8

• Touchdowns: 2 (tied-116th)

• Target Share: 16.6% of team targets

• Yards per Route Run (YPRR): 1.66 – career low

• Average Depth of Target (aDOT): 10 yards – lowest since rookie season

Miami's offense regressed in 2024 (18th in total yards, 22nd in scoring). Waddle also struggled more in games where QB Tua Tagovailoa missed time:

• With Tua: 4.1 catches, 60.4 yards/game

• Without Tua: 3.4 catches, 32.6 yards/game

2025 Fantasy Football Outlook

Stability in Role & Opportunity

• Opposite Tyreek Hill in Miami’s high-volume “air raid”-style offense

Bounceback Potential

• In games with Tua at QB, Waddle averaged solid production

• The departure of TE Jonnu Smith may shift more intermediate/slot snaps back to Waddle, restoring his earlier usage

Headliner Take

Jaylen Waddle enters the 2025 season coming off a down year in 2024, where he posted career lows in receptions (58), receiving yards (744), and touchdowns (2) across 15 games. His target share hovered around 16%, and his yards per route run (1.53) reflected a decline in efficiency compared to prior seasons. Waddle’s fantasy value in 2025 largely hinges on the stability of Miami’s passing attack and Tua Tagovailoa’s health, as his production was significantly stronger in games with Tua under center. While his role alongside Tyreek Hill limits target volume, Waddle remains a key piece of the offense with WR2 potential if Miami’s offense rebounds and he sees an uptick in usage or efficiency. It does help Waddle that Jonnu Smith was moved to PIT. Darren Waller has been out of football for awhile and it will take time for him to get back to game shape. Could provide a hot start for Waddle.