WR: Deebo Samuel - SF

2024 Season Summary

• Team: San Francisco 49ers

• Games Played: 15

• Receptions / Targets: 51 / 81 (63% catch rate)

• Receiving Yards: 670 (13.1 yards per catch, 87th percentile)

• Receiving TDs: 3 (tied 81st among WRs)

• Rushing: 42 carries for 136 yards (3.2 avg) with 1 rushing TD; adds his signature gadget usage

Trend

• Decline from 2023’s peak (60 catches, 892 yards, 7 rec TDs, 5 rush TDs), after veteran highs earlier in his career

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Offseason Move & Role in 2025

• March 2025 trade: Deebo moves to Washington Commanders, inked up with $17.4 M fully guaranteed

• Context: Joins a high-upside offense under OC Kliff Kingsbury, featuring Jayden Daniels (rookie phenom QB) and top target Terry McLaurin

• Opportunity: Will slot in as clear WR2 with dual-threat usage—short area, screens, and occasional rushes—with room for rebound in target volume

2025 Fantasy Outlook

Opportunity & Usage

• Target Increase: Projected to rebound from 5.4 to ~6.2 targets/game, returning to 2021–23 levels

• Playing Time: Likely ~70–75% snap share in offense featuring a 3-WR set, plus gadget run usage

Efficiency Metrics

• YAC asset: 421 YAC in 2024 (top ~14%), expected to translate well in Washington’s velocity-passing scheme

• Red Zone Use: Could fill voids in scoring areas thanks to physicality and route versatility

Health & Durability

• Has averaged 14 GP over past 4 seasons; minor wear but no major layoffs

• Age 29 and prior injuries suggest moderate risk, but durability remains acceptable

Risks & Warning Signs

• Elite QB & scheme fit matter: success hinges on chemistry with Daniels and Kingsbury’s play-calling

• Regression from 2021 highs indicates current floor around solid WR2 rather than star WR1

• Gadget-play reliance can produce boom or bust weeks depending on game script

Headliner Take

Deebo Samuel enters the 2025 season with the Commanders as a versatile weapon in a revamped offense led by Jayden Daniels. After a 2024 campaign with the 49ers where he posted 51 receptions for 670 yards, 3 receiving touchdowns, and added 136 rushing yards with a rushing score over 15 games, Samuel brings his signature YAC ability (421 yards after catch in 2024) to Washington. Slated as the clear WR2 behind Terry McLaurin, Samuel should see steady involvement in short-area targets, screens, and gadget plays within Kliff Kingsbury’s scheme. His fantasy value is tied to his dual-threat usage and ability to create after the catch, offering solid WR2 appeal with occasional boom weeks if healthy.