TE: Jake Ferguson - DAL

2024 Season Summary

Usage & Production

• Games Played: 14 (all starts)

• Targets: 86

• Receptions: 59

• Receiving Yards: 494 (8.4 yards per catch)

• Touchdowns: 0

• Touches per Game: 4.3 (9th among TEs)

• Targets per Game: Tied for 10th among TEs

• Finished TE30 in Half-PPR formats

Advanced Metrics

• Receptions/Game: Ranked 22nd

• Receiving Yards: Ranked 20th

• Yards per Target: Ranked 9th

• Fantasy Points/Game: Ranked 14th among TEs

• Target Share: 16.9%

• Target Rate: 27.7%

• Snap Share: 65.6%

• Air Yards: 360

• Red Zone Targets: Only 3 (down significantly from 2023)

Injuries & QB Situation

• Missed 3 games due to knee and concussion issues

• Dak Prescott’s mid-season injury impacted offensive continuity

• Production declined under backup QB Cooper Rush

2025 Fantasy Outlook

Key Rebound Indicators

1. Quarterback Stability

   • With Dak Prescott healthy, expect improved chemistry and volume return to 2023 levels

2. Touchdown Regression

   • 0 TDs on 86 targets is an extreme outlier

   • Regression suggests 3–5 touchdowns is realistic in 2025

3. Red Zone Focus

   • Ferguson trained specifically for red-zone timing and contested catches during offseason

   • Coaching staff has praised improvement in those areas

4. Locked-In Role

   • Despite new WR additions, Ferguson is still the clear TE1 in the offense

   • Maintains high route participation and usage consistency

5. Coaching Change Impact

   • Brian Schottenheimer steps in as new head coach

   • Scheme expected to feature more aggressive passing and red-zone creativity

   • Offensive outlook improves from McCarthy-era stagnation

   
   
   
   

Headliner Take

Jake Ferguson’s 2024 season was a frustrating mix of solid usage and zero scoring. While he logged 86 targets, his complete absence from the touchdown column tanked his fantasy value. However, the volume was promising, and his efficiency remained quietly strong.

Heading into 2025, Ferguson benefits from multiple arrows pointing up: Dak is healthy, the offense has a more explosive direction under Schottenheimer, and he’s due for positive touchdown regression. While the arrival of George Pickens adds another mouth to feed, the Cowboys are likely to be a high-volume passing team due to a weak run game.

Draft Ferguson as a mid-to-low TE1 with strong bounce-back potential. He could finish Top 8 at the position if red-zone usage rebounds and Prescott stays upright.