TE: Jake Ferguson - DAL
- Taylor Moser
- Jun 14, 2023
- 2 min read
Updated: 7 days ago
2024 Season Summary
Usage & Production
Games Played: 14 (all starts)
Targets: 86
Receptions: 59
Receiving Yards: 494 (8.4 yards per catch)
Touchdowns: 0
Touches per Game: 4.3 (9th among TEs)
Targets per Game: Tied for 10th among TEs
Finished TE30 in Half-PPR formats
Advanced Metrics
Receptions/Game: Ranked 22nd
Receiving Yards: Ranked 20th
Yards per Target: Ranked 9th
Fantasy Points/Game: Ranked 14th among TEs
Target Share: 16.9%
Target Rate: 27.7%
Snap Share: 65.6%
Air Yards: 360
Red Zone Targets: Only 3 (down significantly from 2023)
Injuries & QB Situation
Missed 3 games due to knee and concussion issues
Dak Prescott’s mid-season injury impacted offensive continuity
Production declined under backup QB Cooper Rush
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Key Rebound Indicators
Quarterback Stability
With Dak Prescott healthy, expect improved chemistry and volume return to 2023 levels
Touchdown Regression
0 TDs on 86 targets is an extreme outlier
Regression suggests 3–5 touchdowns is realistic in 2025
Red Zone Focus
Ferguson trained specifically for red-zone timing and contested catches during offseason
Coaching staff has praised improvement in those areas
Locked-In Role
Despite new WR additions, Ferguson is still the clear TE1 in the offense
Maintains high route participation and usage consistency
Coaching Change Impact
Brian Schottenheimer steps in as new head coach
Scheme expected to feature more aggressive passing and red-zone creativity
Offensive outlook improves from McCarthy-era stagnation
Headliner Take
Jake Ferguson’s 2024 season was a frustrating mix of solid usage and zero scoring. While he logged 86 targets, his complete absence from the touchdown column tanked his fantasy value. However, the volume was promising, and his efficiency remained quietly strong.
Heading into 2025, Ferguson benefits from multiple arrows pointing up: Dak is healthy, the offense has a more explosive direction under Schottenheimer, and he’s due for positive touchdown regression. While the arrival of George Pickens adds another mouth to feed, the Cowboys are likely to be a high-volume passing team due to a weak run game.
Draft Ferguson as a mid-to-low TE1 with strong bounce-back potential. He could finish Top 8 at the position if red-zone usage rebounds and Prescott stays upright.
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