Very few injuries hurt the soul as much as Breece Hall's ACL tear in week seven of last season. He was well on his way to having one of the best rookie seasons that we have seen from a running back in recent memory. Through those first seven weeks, Hall was the RB7 overall, averaging 16.4 PPR points per game. He was a breath of fresh air for the running back landscape. He caught passes, broke off big runs, and scored touchdowns. He did everything that you want from a bell-cow running back.
Then disaster struck. An ACL tear is bad enough, but add in the fact that he had a meniscus injury, and you're looking at a full 9 to 10 month recovery timeline for Breece Hall. The good news is that unlike some of the other running backs that tore their ACL this year, updates from the Jets so far have been encouraging for Breece Hall's recovery. It seems like everything is going according to plan. Good news is better because it's typically only good news or no news, and having good news means that he is on his way to coming back and most likely will be able to play in week one this year.
Now, here's where I have to be the bearer of bad news. I would be very surprised to see Breece Hall return value at his current early third-round price tag in fantasy drafts. With a good recovery, he could easily find himself creeping up into the top 20 picks overall in most fantasy drafts. That is terrifying given the position's history with running backs coming off of ACL tears. This time last year, JK Dobbins was going as the RB20, and he finished as the RB57 on the year. Two years ago, at this time, I think the best comparison we have is Saquon Barkley, who was going as the RB10 and finished the year as the RB30.
So, with that in mind, as much as it pains me to say, Breece Hall is on the do not draft list this year.
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