Busts: DJ Moore - CHI

And as a DJ Moore truther, this one hurts me right here, but it really has everything to do with the expensive price tag. Remember, we don't dislike players; we dislike ADP. And the split and target share that's coming to Chicago is just not ideal for DJ Moore.

We have Keenan Allen in this offense now, who's been a target hog his entire career. Rome Odunze could be the top wide receiver on 12 other teams' rosters right now, and he's the wide receiver three in Chicago. We also have multiple capable tight ends in Cole Kmet and Gerald Everett, a solid backfield with D'Andre Swift and Khalil Herbert.

But you know what else we have? An unproven rookie quarterback in Caleb Williams. Everyone thinks he's going to be just fine. Everyone thinks he's going to come out and put up huge numbers, but we have never seen it at this level before. Who is he going to lock on to early in his career? We know he came into the league with Rome Odunze, and they've been working together this offseason. But we also know that Keenan Allen has been a quarterback's best friend for years.

This is just a team with ample weapons and a bunch of unknowns on what the offense is really going to look like. Now, with DJ Moore hovering right around wide receiver 15 or 16, that's going to come with big expectations—more than likely a third-round pick that needs to score right around 192 fantasy points in half PPR formats. That's like 85 catches for 1,100 yards and seven touchdowns. That's not far off from where he was last year when he was the main and arguably the sole part of this offense.

I love DJ Moore, but if I really want a piece of this offense, I'm going to draft Rome Odunze six rounds later. Now, will DJ Moore have big weeks? Abso-freaking-lutely, he's going to. But is he going to have a big week consistently? Is he someone I can count on for at least 10 fantasy points a week? No, he's really not.

Now, if you draft him in the third round, you may end up with a wide receiver that's just a headache to figure out whether or not you should start him each and every week.